Wolf’s Racing Guide – William Hill
Wolf’s Best Rosehill Race 3, No.9 Crystal Flute
Crystal Flute is in the deep end here but The Wolf expects her to swim. This filly was tested against winners on debut racing out of her grade where she made good late ground to run second. Queen Of Wands ran third and she wasn’t disgraced in Melbourne subsequently over the carnival. Crystal Flute then got a long way back at Warwick Farm but stripped late ground off talented winner Ghisoni. Expect Feast For Eyes to roll along and for Crystal Flute to rip down the outside with 54kg.
Ballarat Race 4, No.15 Orvassa
This filly has improved sharply this campaign. First-up she won despite being wide the trip before charging last at Moonee Valley when clearly looking for 1400m. Got that at Sandown but had little luck. Got a long way back and found trouble but still hit the line. She’ll need luck from the wide draw here but she is going particularly well and has found a very winnable assignment.
Ballarat Race 6, No.14 Leica Day
The blinkers went on last start and he bolted in. Yes, it was at Hamilton in a BM70 but his 1L fifth behind Berisha three starts ago says he is right up to this class. Everything DK Weir touches turns to gold at the moment and The Wolf expects this four-year-old to really go on with the job now. Brad Rawiller will need to be right on his game from the gate. There’s a chance Show A Star will string them out so he can slot in somewhere.
Rosehill Race 9, No.3 Heavens Above
This mare hammered the line fresh and was a touch unlucky not to win given she didn’t have the clearest of paths. The extra 150m can only help here and drawn perfectly in a middle gate. Has only won a maiden in eight starts but there is a bit of quality about her and The Wolf wouldn’t be surprised to see her string a few wins together at this time of year. Perhaps she’d even be a knockout in a Villiers.
Rosehill Race 7, No.11 Hetty Heights
This race is wide open and has double figure winner written all over it. Hetty Heights was backed as if unbeatable at Gosford last start and won as $1.60 shots should. This four-year-old has more scope than most of her rivals and doubt 1400m poses a problem. Avdulla sticks which is a big tick. Unequivocal is a mare The Wolf is also fond of but he’s in the corner of Hetty here.
4,6,7,14 / 1,3,11 / 1,2,8,12,16 / 2,3,10,12,14.
1,3,4,7 / 2,3,4,7,9,11 / 1,2,6,14 / 3,4.
Feature Race Betting
Railway Stakes (Ascot)
The Wolf turns to the west to run his eye over the full Railway Stakes field in a runner by runner guide.
Winterbottom Stakes (Ascot)
The early $4.20 for Buffering looks generous. Won this race in 2013 (in a deeper field) and has mixed it with the best sprinters in the country since. Was beaten just over a half a length in the G1 Darley Classic at his latest outing which is one of the strongest sprint races on the Aussie calendar. What price Chautauqua if he was here? $1.60 at best. He’s a warhorse and will be fighting out the finish. The barrier is a disaster for Magnifisio, who split Black Heart Bart and Delicacy last start over 1400m. Rommel best knockout.
WA Guineas (Ascot)
Arcadia Dream was enormous at her first try at the mile last start. Some query on how she’lll back up seven days later and also has a wide gate to contend with. Does get the services of gun hoop Willie Pike though. Willing to forgive Blackwood last start behind Arcadia – she’s much better than that. He’s Our Rokki has strong Victorian form around Mahuta. He’s a huge player. Best smokey is The Cobbla out to the mile.
Ballarat Cup (Ballarat)
Junoob has an awful habit of losing interest once he loses sight of the bunny these days. With a positive ride, he’s capable of turning his form right around at big odds. Sysmo was very strong late behind Divan last start and drops 7kg from that. He’ll get back from the gate but be charging. Ungrateful Ellen another with obvious claims. Wasn’t in the fast lane in the Matriarch behind Lucia Valentina and wasn’t far from Casino Dancer who won the Eclipse last week.