Toss a Coin Flip a Dart to Pick Runners in 2018 Sydney Cup

Almandin occupies the role of favourite for Saturday’s Group 1 Sydney Cup, but according to Ladbrokes, the veteran, in terms of age if not experience, has drifted a bit as the race draws nearer.

He opened at $3.90, shortened to $3.80, went back to $3.90 and currently sits at $4.

Almandin is a tough one to figure. He has run just 20 races since he took up the sport of thoroughbred racing and he might be the only horse in the history of the Melbourne Cup to win, which came in 2016, and then come back the following year to finish almost 12 lengths back in 2017, when he jumped as co-favourite. He went off at $11 in 2016 on the fourth line of the betting.

His recent win in the Group 1 Tancred Stakes might have led him to the first line he occupies for the Sydney Cup, but it is difficult to say which Almandin is going to turn out for any particular race.

Polarisation won the Sydney Cup last year, but is not back to defend. Second place finisher in 2017 Who Shot Thebarman is in the field, and his $16 quote suggests that he is a valid chance, but the nine-year-old would seem to be running on borrowed time and has not won in Australia at the Group 1 level, his only Group 1 win being the Auckland Cup (3200 m) in 2014.

Sir Charles Road follows Almandin in the betting with a $6.50 price on him, and next comes aloft at $7.00, with backers coming in to shorten him as the wagers have come in.

His run in the Auckland Cup back in March of 2018 was good for only sixth, but his win on April 7 in the Group 2 Chairman’s’ Handicap may have punters feeling good about his chances in the Sydney Cup.

Aloft ($7) is the only other runner with a single digit quote and he has never won at the Group quality level, which we suppose, points to the dearth of stayers and staying races that is the order of the day.

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