Perth Cup Review And Stats. Betting Strategy

Perth Cup Group 2 Race over 2400 metres – Ascot, Saturday 2 January 2016

Track Good

Rail true

Weather forecast – fine 37 degrees

1 of past 5 winners was SP favourite
5 of past 5 winners have carried 55.5kg or less
0 of past 5 winners won CB Cox Stakes at previous start

Previous Race Winners and Lead-Up Result

2015 – Good 3, Rail true

1st – Real Love – SP$2.40 54kg BR4 – 6th up, 2 weeks, 1st Listed WA St Leger 2100m Ascot

2nd – Red Blast – SP$9 54kg BR7 – 5th up, 2 weeks, 2nd Group 2 CB Cox Stakes 2100m Ascot

3rd – Kirov Boy – SP$13 54kg BR11 – 5th up, 1 week, 1st open handicap 2200m Ascot

2014 – Good 3, Rail true

1st – Black Tycoon – SP$5 55.5kg BR5 – 7th up, 2 weeks, 4th Group 2 CB Cox Stakes 2100m Ascot

2nd – God Has Spoken – SP$61 55.5kg BR13 – 7th up, 2 weeks, 11th Group 2 CB Cox Stakes 2100m Ascot

3rd – Ask Me Nicely – SP$41 54kg BR9 – 14th up, 1 week, 4th BM78+ 1500m Ascot

2013 – Good 3, Rail out 3m

1st – Talent Show – SP$31 54kg BR2 – 8th up, 2 weeks, 4th Group 2 CB Cox Stakes 2100m Ascot

2nd – Mr Moet – SP$3.20 59kg BR8 – 4th up, 1st Group 2 CB Cox Stakes 2100m Ascot

3rd – Global Flirt – SP$11 53kg BR3 – 12th up, 2 weeks 4th BM80+ 2200m Ascot

2012 – Good 3, Rail true

1st – Western Jewel – SP$7 52kg BR14 – 8th up, 1 week, 1st BM80+ 2200m Ascot

2nd – God Has Spoken – SP$10 57kg BR12 – 7th up, 2 weeks, 1st Group 2 CB Cox Stakes 2100m Ascot

3rd – Senhor De Gama – SP$9 52kg BR4 – 9th up, 3 weeks, 2nd BM68+ 2200m Ascot

2011 – Good 3, Rail true

1st – Guest Wing – SP$21 52kg BR8 – 7th up, 2 weeks, 2nd open handicap 2200m Ascot

2nd – Guyno – SP$8 54kg BR4 – 7th up, 2 weeks, 5th Group 2 CB Cox Stakes 2100m Ascot

3rd – Simply Adorable – SP$41 52kg BR14 – 5th up, 2 weeks, 7th open handicap 2200m Ascot

Major Players:

Delicacy – Star mare of West Australian racing but she will need to go to another level if she can win with 59kg. Recent history says it is extremely difficult and William Pike’s decision to ride Neverland over this mare says a lot. Drawing barrier 1 is a positive as she won’t need to spend any petrol to obtain the prime position.

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