Barrier Draw and Weights for The Everest Favourable for She Will Reign
The clock is ticking down to The Everest. The weights are declared and barriers announced.
Eight of the 12 will have 58.5 kg, one is at 56.5 and three have only 51 kg.
She Will Reign is one of those on the lighter side and she has drawn the first barrier for the 1200 m Group 1 race. C. Brown will ride her.
At the top end of the scale, Chautauqua will break from the fifth barrier and carry Brenton Avdulla.
Houtzen will come out of the first barrier. As a three-year-old filly, she will carry only 51 kg., and though she is quoted as a $26 chance, she will figure prominently in the pace for the inaugural running of the $10 million race at Royal Randwick.
Racing experts predict that Chautauqua will be well off the lead going into the stretch and will not start to move through his gears until the final 500 m. His jockey Avdulla said much the same, at the same time expressing that he considered it good fortune to have the ride, as Chautauqua is typically ridden by Tommy Berry or Dwayne Dunn. Neither of those two will be taking part in The Everest.
Chautauqua’s record shows that a rapid pace favours him; the quicker they go, the better advantage he can make of his ability to sustain sprints of as much as 800 m.
She Will Reign still maintains favourtism in the eyes of the punters who have got their wagers on. Australia’s newest online bookmaker, Neds lists her as a $5.50 co-favourite with Vega Magic, even though Shew Will Reign will have a 7.5 kg weight advantage. That is a significant amount and were the race 1600 m or longer, it would be a substantial consideration.
Clearly Innocent ($13) has drawn well in sixth. He has shown his best racing when he is outside other horses, so he should be well poised in the final stretch.